The NEXT Recession?

Last year I came across an important revelation of the financial markets while reading Thomas Dorsey’s book Point and Figure Charting in which he stated that fundamental analysis (ie. analyzing the strength of businesses from their financials) tells you WHAT to invest in, while technical analysis (ie. the science of studying charts and patterns) tells you … More The NEXT Recession?

Month 8 – Emerald Coast and The South

January was a very interesting and strange month for us. Normally we’re recovering from the holidays, cooped up inside in the winter, with the occassional trip up to the ski resorts and some “sunny” days. This year was basically the opposite with lots of sandy beaches, warm weather (well on some days), and miles of swamps, trees, … More Month 8 – Emerald Coast and The South

On Predicting the Next Big One: Part III, The Yield Curve

In my first two posts (Part 1 and Part 2), I discussed two economic or financial indicators that can help predict recessions: 1) The Unemployment Rate and 2) The S&P 500 index. For my third post, I want to review a less widely known economic indicator: the yield curve (or the difference between short-term and … More On Predicting the Next Big One: Part III, The Yield Curve

On Predicting the Next Big One: Part II, The S&P 500

In Part 1, I described the unemployment rate, arguably the most important metric that has a direct impact on the likelihood of a recession. Next, let’s look at another important factor: the stock market. Specifically, the S&P 500. The Standard & Poors 500 is a great indicator because it represents a sizable group of companies … More On Predicting the Next Big One: Part II, The S&P 500